Service Plays Thursday 05/28/09

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Thank you, wilheim..

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David Burgett

30* Parlay of the month

Arizona RUN LINE -1.5 (+170)
Cubs -125

$1,000 wins $3,860. Good luck guys will be back more with tomorrow!
 
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Jim Feist Bonus Play

(901) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
(902) CHICAGO CUBS
Take "Under"

The Dodgers are 10-7 since Manny Ramirez, their best hitter, was suspended May 7, leading the NL West by 7.5 games. Juan Pierre has replaced Ramirez in left field. He's hitting well, but he's no Manny. LA has a reliable starter here in Randy Wolf (3.02 ERA), with 50 Ks in 62 innings. The Chicago offense has struggled with injuries all season, 11th in the NL in runs and on base percentage. The Dodgers have never seen Cubs righty Randy Wells, who has been great with a 1.50 ERA. Look for fewer runs than oddsmakers expect. Play the Dodgers/Cubs under the total.
 

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Rated Picks

2-2 yesterday

NBA-
Orlando Magic +7.5/8 2.5units
Orlando Magic ML 1unit

MLB- This is a 3-0 Thursday!!
Baltimore Orioles/Detroit Tigers OVER 10
*BP* Tampa Bay Rays -115
LA Dodgers +115
 

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INSIDE THE LINES

THURSDAY, MAY 28

Updated by 2:00 P.M. Eastern Weekdays

Updated by 9:00 A.M. Eastern Weekends







NBA PLAYOFFS



EASTERN CONFERENCE



(3) Orlando (11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS) at (1) Cleveland (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS)



The Cavaliers, the No. 1 overall seed, return home to Quicken Loans Arena trying to avoid elimination in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference finals against the surprising Magic, who are one win away from returning to the NBA Finals for the second time in franchise history.



Cleveland rallied from an eight-point fourth-quarter deficit to force overtime in Game 4 Tuesday night, but fell 116-114 as a 1½-point road favorite. The Cavs have now failed to cash in all four games of this series and their last five overall after starting the playoffs 7-0 ATS. LeBron James had a huge night of 44 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists, but he also committed eight turnovers and his 30-foot shot at the buzzer in overtime was just offline. Mo Williams scored 18 points but shot just 5-for-15 (0-for-3 from three-point range), and Delonte West (17 points) also missed all three of his three-pointers as Cleveland finished 6 of 22 from long distance (27.3 percent).



On the flip side, Orlando went a superb 17 of 38 (44.7 percent) from beyond the arc, including a 6-for-12 effort from Rafer Alston as he rolled up 26 points. Dwight Howard scored 10 points in overtime and finished with 27 points, 14 rebounds, four assists and three blocks. Mickael Pietrus and Rashard Lewis (17 points apiece) each drained five shots from long distance, including a Lewis 3-ball in the waning seconds that put the Magic up 100-98, after which James hit two free throws to force overtime.



The Magic are on a 14-1 ATS firestorm in this rivalry, including cashing in seven straight meetings in Cleveland. This year, Orlando is 7-0 ATS (5-2 SU) against the Cavaliers. Also, the underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 clashes in this rivalry.



History is on the Magic’s side heading into this contest, as teams with a 3-1 lead in the NBA playoffs own a staggering 182-8 series record dating to 1947.



Prior to Game 1 of this series, Cleveland had lost just one meaningful home game all season, and the Cavs remain 44-3 SU (32-15 ATS) at Quicken Loans Arena this year, including 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) in the playoffs. However, the one playoff loss came in Game 1 of this series to the Magic. Orlando is 32-18 SU (31-18-1 ATS) on the road for the season (5-3 SU, 5-4 ATS in the postseason).



The Cavaliers, despite dropping three of four games in this series, are still 32-6 SU in their last 38 starts. They also remain on several positive ATS runs, including 11-5 overall, 37-16 at home, 14-5 as a playoff chalk and 20-6 after a SU loss. However, Mike Brown’s troops are just 6-17 ATS in their last 23 outings against Southeast Division opponents, dropping the last five in a row dating to their second-round series with Atlanta.



The Magic have cashed in their last six games (5-1 SU), going 3-0 ATS on the highway. They are on further ATS upswings of 10-3 overall, 9-1 against the Central Division, 7-2 after a spread-cover and 7-2 following a SU win. Plus, as an underdog, they are on ATS rolls of 37-15-1 overall, 7-2 in playoff action and 6-0 against Cleveland.



The over for Cleveland is on streaks of 6-1 in conference finals, 4-0-1 after a SU loss and 5-2 at home, but the under is on runs of 14-6-1 with the Cavaliers favored at home and 8-2 with the Cavs laying five to 10½ points in the playoffs. Meanwhile, the under for Orlando is on rolls of 23-11 overall, 16-7 against teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 18-8 after a day off, but the Magic also sport “over” trends of 4-1 as a playoff pup of five to 10½ points and 5-2 against the Central Division.



Finally, the total has gone high in three of four games in this series and four of the last five clashes overall.



ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO





NATIONAL LEAGUE



L.A. Dodgers (33-15) at Chicago Cubs (23-22)



Fresh off a three-game sweep of the Rockies in Colorado, the Dodgers take baseball’s best record to Wrigley Field for a four-game weekend series versus the Cubs, with veteran lefty Randy Wolf (2-1, 3.05 ERA) slated to oppose rookie Randy Wells (0-1, 1.50) in the opener.



After losing two of three at home to the Angels in interleague play last weekend, the Dodgers went to Coors Field and took their frustrations out on the lowly Rockies, sweeping the three-game set by the combined tally of 31-13, capped by Thursday afternoon’s 8-6 come-from-behind victory. Los Angeles has won 11 of its last 14 overall, including seven of eight on the road, averaging 8.3 runs during those eight on the highway.



Chicago has followed up an eight-game slide with back-to-back wins over Pittsburgh, topping the Pirates 6-1 in Tuesday’s rain-shortened contest at Wrigley Field then rolling to a 5-2 victory Wednesday. Chicago is on a 10-3 run at Wrigley Field and has scored 19 runs through three games of this homestand after tallying a total of five runs during last week’s six-game road trip to St. Louis and San Diego. In fact, the Cubs have scored at least five runs in eight consecutive home games and 11 of the last 13.



In addition to streaks of 11-3 overall and 7-1 as a visitor, the Dodgers are on upticks of 7-2 against right-handed starters, 8-3 against the N.L. Central and 4-1 on Thursday. Going back to last season, Joe Torre’s troops are on a 55-27 overall roll. Meanwhile, Chicago is in funks of 2-5 as a favorite and 2-6 on Thursday, but the Cubs are 17-8 in their last 25 against southpaw starters and they’ve won 68 of their last 101 games at Wrigley Field.



The Cubs won the first four meetings with Los Angeles last season, including a three-game sweep at Wrigley Field in which the Dodgers were held to a single run in every game. However, L.A. went 5-1 against Chicago from there, including a three-game sweep in the best-of-5 divisional playoffs in October that ended the Cubs’ season.



Wolf’s streak of five consecutive starts allowing two earned runs or fewer ended in Saturday’s home outing against the Angels, when he gave up four runs on 10 hits in 6 1/3 innings. However, his offense bailed him out en route to a 5-4, walk-off victory. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Wolf’s last five starts and 6-1 in his last seven against N.L. Central clubs.



Wolf, who hasn’t allowed more than four runs in any of his 10 trips to the mound this season, is 2-1 with a 2.87 ERA in five road starts, with L.A. going 2-3. However, he’s 3-7 with a 4.71 ERA in 15 career starts against the Cubs, including 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA in eight outings at Wrigley Field.



Wells didn’t allow a single run in his first two starts, surrendering a combined nine hits with nine strikeouts and five walks in 11 innings. However, in Saturday’s outing in San Diego, he got dinged for three runs on five hits in seven innings of a 3-1 loss, but he still walked only one and struck out seven. Chicago’s only victory so far with Wells pitching came at Wrigley Field on May 16, when the right-hander scattered four hits in six scoreless innings and got a no-decision in his team’s 5-4, walk-off win over Houston



The under is 7-1-2 in Wolf’s last 10 starts against the Cubs (4-1-1 at Wrigley) dating to 2000, while all three of Wells’ big-league starts have stayed low.



For Los Angeles, the over is on streaks of 4-1 overall, 5-1-1 on the road, 8-2-2 as an underdog and 17-7-2 against right-handed starters. Also, the over is 7-3-1 in Chicago’s last 11 versus lefty starters and 20-8-1 in its last 29 Thursday games, but otherwise the team is on “under” rolls of 7-2 overall and 6-1-1 in a series opener.



ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and UNDER
 

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Fast Cash Freddy

(905) Rays
(906) Indians
Take Rays -105

Look for the Rays to end their 4 game losing streak today! They will send Niemann to the mound who is 2-0 in last 3 with a 1.26 WHIP/2.84ERA! Rays are 3-0 in his last 3 starts! He has pitched very well on the road going 3-1 with a 4.11 ERA 1.18 runs better than home. Pitching has been the Rays problem of late! Today I see them getting plenty of runs against Huff who has been a disaster thus far. The LHP has made 2 MLB Starts and has yet to get out of the third inning. He has a 17.55 ERA and with the Rays hitting well off the LHP 7.08 runs/9 last 5 I expect that to be the difference!
 

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DUNKEL

Denver at LA Lakers
Needing a win to stay alive after dropping Game Four in OT (116-114), the Cavs look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Cleveland is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-7 1/2).

Game 519-520: Orlando at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 123.705; Cleveland 133.582
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 191 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-7 1/2); Over


MLB

Detroit at Baltimore
The Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games and face a Detroit team that is 1-6 in Armando Galarraga's last 7 starts as an underdog. Baltimore is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110).

Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.605; Cubs (Wells) 15.517
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+110); N/A

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 13.977; Arizona (Haren) 15.540
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Over

Game 905-906: Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.636; Cleveland (Huff) 15.294
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 11
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Over

Game 907-908: Boston at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 17.025; Minnesota (Swarzak) 15.933
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Under

Game 909-910: Detroit at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 14.857; Baltimore (Hernandez) 15.545
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Over
 

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IC THURSDAY'S COMP PLAY:

Take Over 94.5 for the First Half between the Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers. We have seen this occur before between these two teams as the pace in Cleveland is one that is more lively than in Orlando - plus, it is more lively than the second half when defense is likely to take more of a precedence. With all the emotion going on for Cleveland in this game being down 3-1, I expect them to come out with a lot of firepower and in the same token, I don't expect the Magic to simply lay down here as they are likely to keep pace. I look for the first half to be relatively high scoring and the early total to be pushed over. A 50-45 half gets the first half over and despite who takes the side, with emotions riding high in the first portion of this game, the total likely goes a bit over.
 

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Winning Way Sports




Baseball for May 28, 2009

MLB - 2.5 units on Detroit Tigers (-105)
- Galarraga & Hernandez
- Action

MLB - 2.5 units on Los Angeles Dodgers (+115)
- Wolf & Wells
- Action

MLB - 2.5 units on Atlanta Braves (+110)
- Lowe & Haren
- Action
 

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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Dodgers +110

Orlando +7.5

(both top plays)
 

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Winning Way Sports

Baseball for May 28, 2009

MLB - 2.5 units on Detroit Tigers (-105)
- Galarraga & Hernandez
- Action

MLB - 2.5 units on Los Angeles Dodgers (+115)
- Wolf & Wells
- Action

MLB - 2.5 units on Atlanta Braves (+110)
- Lowe & Haren
- Action
 

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BeatYourBookie.com

MLB Baseball for Thursday

100* Play Atlanta (+110) over Arizona

50* Play Detroit (+100) over Baltimore
 

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BeatYourBookie.com

Daily Premium Hoops Winner for Thursday


NBA Basketball


100* Play Orlando Magic (+7.5) over Cleveland (NBA)

Orlando is 18-6 ATS as an underdog this season
Orlando is 18-6 ATS after allowing 110 points or more the last 2 seasons
Orlando is 32-18 ATS in all road games this season
 

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Ferringo 5-28

Take 'Over' 11.0 Tampa Bay at Cleveland (12:05 p.m., Thursday, May 28)
Take Tampa Bay (-110) over Cleveland (12:05 p.m., Thursday, May 28)Take #901 L.A. Dodgers (+125) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m.)
Take #907 Boston (-135) over Minnesota (1:10 p.m.)
Take #909 Detroit (+130) over Baltimore (7 p.m.)
Take #904 Arizona (-125) over Atlanta (9:40 p.m.)
 

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